Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.444150 0.513955 0.590375 0.680142 0.782593 0.895766 1.030153
2025-06-29 0.314221 0.405555 0.515934 0.658667 0.837827 1.054702 1.336535
2025-07-06 0.243818 0.341065 0.467416 0.642584 0.877969 1.181999 1.602929
2025-07-13 0.206939 0.309170 0.450051 0.656654 0.949844 1.348543 1.928800
2025-07-20 0.185608 0.293484 0.449845 0.690397 1.047894 1.555543 2.325849
2025-07-27 0.165748 0.275959 0.443182 0.711784 1.127816 1.741786 2.708515
2025-08-03 0.146450 0.255872 0.429117 0.718736 1.184721 1.897114 3.057285
2025-08-10 0.128643 0.235249 0.410949 0.715886 1.224258 2.027350 3.376673
2025-08-17 0.112658 0.215202 0.390793 0.706566 1.250953 2.137839 3.672104
2025-08-24 0.099423 0.197988 0.373018 0.698552 1.277782 2.249106 3.975968
2025-08-31 0.085990 0.178424 0.348546 0.675566 1.275666 2.310666 4.200076
2025-09-07 0.082756 0.177842 0.358256 0.714891 1.386594 2.572788 4.786783
2025-09-14 0.071899 0.160870 0.335677 0.692435 1.384565 2.640012 5.042760
2025-09-21 0.062680 0.145957 0.315309 0.671955 1.384217 2.710376 5.311093
2025-09-28 0.055145 0.133482 0.298178 0.655653 1.389692 2.790930 5.603435
2025-10-05 0.051354 0.128716 0.296296 0.669997 1.456598 2.991832 6.137332
2025-10-12 0.049600 0.128356 0.303678 0.704382 1.567001 3.284715 6.870056
2025-10-19 0.046951 0.125485 0.305187 0.726175 1.653084 3.536137 7.539923
2025-10-26 0.043473 0.120072 0.300312 0.733259 1.708401 3.729768 8.108194
2025-11-02 0.039691 0.113320 0.291498 0.730354 1.741472 3.879877 8.598013
2025-11-09 0.035907 0.105983 0.280396 0.720858 1.758834 3.998163 9.029991
2025-11-16 0.032600 0.099415 0.270349 0.712692 1.778226 4.121816 9.481772
2025-11-23 0.028855 0.091044 0.254757 0.689270 1.759948 4.162162 9.756894